Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.023208 0.025049 0.026968 0.029119 0.031465 0.033948 0.036778
2025-11-23 0.020158 0.022795 0.025691 0.029114 0.033058 0.037471 0.042796
2025-11-30 0.018017 0.021086 0.024587 0.028892 0.034063 0.040098 0.047713
2025-12-07 0.016463 0.019806 0.023740 0.028736 0.034944 0.042450 0.052277
2025-12-14 0.015189 0.018705 0.022953 0.028497 0.035593 0.044437 0.056396
2025-12-21 0.014268 0.017939 0.022480 0.028555 0.036538 0.046766 0.061013
2025-12-28 0.013384 0.017141 0.021886 0.028377 0.037113 0.048589 0.065011
2026-01-04 0.012667 0.016501 0.021438 0.028331 0.037815 0.050569 0.069291
2026-01-11 0.012095 0.016007 0.021137 0.028439 0.038700 0.052808 0.074026
2026-01-18 0.011557 0.015522 0.020810 0.028473 0.039456 0.054876 0.078607
2026-01-25 0.011127 0.015156 0.020615 0.028665 0.040424 0.057271 0.083783
2026-02-01 0.010549 0.014551 0.020052 0.028291 0.040534 0.058399 0.087093
2026-02-08 0.009947 0.013901 0.019418 0.027816 0.040519 0.059420 0.090437
2026-02-15 0.009507 0.013463 0.019067 0.027740 0.041102 0.061381 0.095407
2026-02-22 0.009061 0.012992 0.018640 0.027517 0.041436 0.062961 0.099851
2026-03-01 0.008671 0.012581 0.018278 0.027368 0.041861 0.064690 0.104635
2026-03-08 0.008291 0.012165 0.017884 0.027142 0.042140 0.066184 0.109100
2026-03-15 0.008009 0.011885 0.017680 0.027196 0.042864 0.068429 0.114992
2026-03-22 0.007693 0.011535 0.017350 0.027028 0.043205 0.070043 0.119865
2026-03-29 0.007427 0.011251 0.017107 0.026984 0.043741 0.072005 0.125482
2026-04-05 0.007211 0.011035 0.016961 0.027086 0.044524 0.074427 0.132094
2026-04-12 0.006992 0.010805 0.016780 0.027118 0.045181 0.076654 0.138484
2026-04-19 0.006818 0.010638 0.016692 0.027301 0.046104 0.079399 0.146046